Serie A · Sun 11 Oct, 21:45
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.87 · 54%
Cagliari's matches have been tight: four of their last six had fewer than three goals, including three 1-0 results and a 0-1. The goal model expects about 2.37 goals in total and gives Under 57.6%, above the market's 53.6%. Juventus are missing several players, including another muscle injury for Milik, which could limit their attack.
Juventus's recent games include a 2-3 at Sassuolo and a 2-2 at Torino, and Cagliari have twice won 2-1 away. An expected total of 2.37 is close to the line, so one extra goal settles it. The price is fair, so there is no extra value here.
Juventus are missing several players, including another muscle injury for Milik, and one preview tips a 1-0 win, which slightly supports a low-scoring game.