Süper Lig · Fri 16 Oct, 20:00
Çaykur Rizespor to win @ 3.50 · 29%
Çaykur Rizespor have played well away from home, with wins at Eyupspor (2-0) and Gaziantep (2-1) and a 2-2 draw at Goztep. Çorum FK have a mixed home record, losing 1-2 to Alanyaspor and 0-1 to Kasimpasa. The price of 3.5 is close to the sharp market's fair price.
The goal model gives Rizespor only an 18% chance of winning, well below the market's 29%. It also expects Çorum to score clearly more (2.66 expected goals against 1.43). Çorum come in off a 3-0 away win and have scored 14 goals in six games, while Rizespor have lost three of their last six, most recently 0-3 at home to Fenerbahce.
No relevant team news supplied: the headlines are about other matches or are generic previews, with no news on injuries or line-ups for either side.