Frosinone – Sassuolo

Serie A · Fri 16 Oct, 21:45

Draw @ 3.80 · 27%

The price is close to the sharp-market fair level, and the market rates the draw at 26.5%. Sassuolo drew 2 of their last 6, including a 1-1 at home to Milan, and Frosinone drew away at Genoa. Neither side's form is dominant, and both sides have mixed results.

The goal model has the draw lower, at 24.0%, and expects Frosinone to edge it (1.68 v 1.18 expected goals). A projected total of about 2.9 goals points to an open game, which usually makes a draw less likely. Frosinone have won 2 of 3 recent home games, and Sassuolo concede regularly away from home.

The supplied headlines are about other clubs or Sassuolo's 1-1 with Milan, and none reports injuries or line-up news that bears on this draw pick.