Ligue 1 · 11 Eki Paz 16:00
Strasbourg kazanır (MS 2) @ 3.07 · 33%
Sonuç: 2–1 · tahmin tutmadı
The 3.07 price is above the the market-derived fair odds of 3.007, and the goal model is much more bullish on Strasbourg (44.6% against 33.3%), with expected goals of 1.67 for Strasbourg and 1.35 for Nice. Nice's recent form is weak: one win in their last five league games, only 3 goals scored, and a 0-3 loss at Paris FC. Strasbourg have attacking punch, scoring 6 at Troyes and 5 against Monaco.
The edge is only about 2% over a sharp price, which is easily within normal pricing noise. Strasbourg's defence leaks goals (4 conceded at Marseille, 2 at Paris FC), and they come into this game after a loss and a draw. The team news is against them: Strasbourg are missing Doukouré and Godo, and Nice may get Boudaoui back in the side.
Strasbourg are without Doukouré and Godo and Nice may start Boudaoui, which leans slightly against the pick; most of the home-team headlines have nothing to do with this match.